Friday, November 16, 2012

Lock-Street Week 11 11.18




Green Bay Packers (-3.5) vs. Detroit Lions


Bring your popcorn and get ready for the fireworks. This game should be enjoyable with such all-stars as Aaron Rodgers, Matt Stafford, Calvin Johnson, Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson, Ndamukong Suh, Clay Matthews, and Charles Woodson. Well, actually Matthews is out and Jennings and Woodson are severely hobbled, but they still have play makers like the rising Randall ‘Corn’ Cobb

The Packers should be well rested after coming off a bye week. Aaron Rodgers has been on fire recently as the Cheeseheads have won the last 4 straight. Over these games, Rodgers threw for 1084 yards, 14 TD’s and 1 pick. He also has 54 yards rushing which, while it looks meek, is good for a pocket QB. Also, let’s add the fact that his Rating for the year is 107.4. NO BIG DEAL. Sure the Lions have Matthew Stafford who's finally playing up to his potential (averaging 307 ypg over the last 4 and totaling 7 TD’s to 3 picks) and Calvin Johnson who had a monster games last week with 207 yards and 1 TD. But they still have more holes than the Packers. Plus, Calvin Johnson suffered nerve damage that apparently affects his ability to grasp a ball so should be interesting to see how that progresses. The guy only has 2 TD’s this entire year. Crazy.

Both defenses have weapons, but it takes more to hinder Rodgers than Stafford. The human plows of Suh, Vanden Bosch, Tulloch, and Avril strike fear in most grown ass men, but will not faze Rodgers. He'll be Discount Double-Checking all over the place. Clay Mathews is hurt and Woodson is questionable so Raji and Hawk might not be enough to stop the silver and blue. That said, this game goes green, like the states of Colorado and Washington.













New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts (o 54)


Look, we all know this is an absurd over and it's difficult to hit. But you’re looking at the highest scoring offense in the league (The Brady Bunch) vs. an offense who's finally coming into its own with the most hyped rookie in NFL history.


Andrew Luck ranks 8th in the league in yardage and has thrown more TD’s then interceptions. A few weeks ago he had a monster game and broke the record for most yards in a game by a rookie, 433. Oh, and just because he's white, it doesn’t mean he can’t run. The kid has run for 159 yards and 5 TD’s. Can someone say Joe Montana? Reggie Wayne has been drinking the same Kool Aid as Ray Lewis and Tony Gonzalez, becoming ageless by averaging the second most ypg in the NFL.


Now what about the offensive juggernauts? The Pats lead the league in yards per game and the most points. (430.3 ypg and 33.2 ppg). Gronk is back and ready to cut a rug all over the endzone. Welker, even after the whole offseason debacle and being thrown to the wolves at the beginning of the year has come on strong, leading the team in receiving yds, 810. Finally, after years of playing with RB’s who do nothing more than not fuck-up, they might have their best rusher in ages in Ridley (6 TDs and 814 yards).


Both defenses are overall abysmal and while the Colts have held their last four opponents to an average of 14 points, these teams reek of mediocrity (Cleveland, Tennessee, Miami, and Jacksonville). If you add the team’s defensive yards allowed per game, you would come up with the astronomical number of 736 yards. That should be more than enough for Brady and Luck to make it rain all over Gillette Stadium. The Patriots are a pathetic 29th in opponent passing defense and middle-of-the-pack 9th in opponent rushing. The Colts are 15th in opponent passing and 22nd in opponent rushing. Even with such defensive players as Devin McCourty, Vince Wilfork, Jerod Mayo, and the newly acquired Aqib Talib, the Patriots will give up yards. On the other side, Brady's too good and quick to allow Freeney, Freeman, and Bethea to affect him. Boom, defenses are toast.




Chicago Bears vs. The San Francisco 49’s (-5)


This game has now been deemed the Concussion Bowl as both starting QB’s suffered concussions last week. In actuality this is going to be a great game either way, with two of the top defenses in the league going at it, and I mean Dirk Diggler style. Well, that is if you like barn burners.

What else can you say about a Bears team that has a better chance to win a game if their QB kneels on the ball on every down? It’s amazing what they've done this season. The 49’s have said that their boy toy, Alex Smith, will be playing but who fucking knows. I feel like the NFL’s policies on concussions are more lenient than they say. This game could be a huge showdown between Colin Kaepernick (Niners) vs. journeyman Jason Campbell (Bears)… Wow. I guess between those two you have to go with veteran Jason Campbell. Lesser of two evils.


This is going to be a game between the defenses' ability to force turnovers and will be defined offensively by Frank Gore and Matt Forte. The issue is that the Niners have allowed 1.4 yards per rush since the beginning of last season and are averaging 170/game on the ground offensively. Sorry Chicago, the Niners win the rushing match-up and thus Da GAME.


Record


Week 10

2-1


Week 9

1-2

Week 8



1-2



Week 7



2-1

Week 6



1-2



Week 5



1-2



Week 4





3-0



Week 3





2-1



Week 2



1-2



Week 1





0-1



LOCK STREET TOTAL RECORD



14-15


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